Selected Publications: Laura Sandri 1. Belardinelli M.E., Sandri L., and P. Baldi (2003). The major event of the 1997 Umbria-Marche (Italy) sequence: what could we learn from DInSAR and GPS data?, Geophys. J. Int., 153:242-252. 2. Marzocchi W., Sandri L., and E. Boschi (2003). On the validation of earthquake forecasting models: the case of pattern recognition algorithms, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 93:5:1994-2004. 3. Marzocchi W. and L. Sandri (2003). A review and new insights on the estimation of the b-value and its uncertainty, Ann. Geophys., 46:6:12711282. 4. Sandri L. and W. Marzocchi (2004). Testing the performance of some nonparametric pattern recognition algorithms in realistic cases, Pattern Recogn., DOI 10.1016/l.patcog.2003.08.009, 37:3:447-461. 5. Sandri L., Marzocchi W., and L. Zaccarelli (2004). A new perspective in identifying precursory patterns of volcanic eruptions, Bull. Volcanol., DOI 10.1007/s00445-003-0309-7, 66:263-275. 6. Marzocchi W., Sandri L., Gasparini P., Newhall C.G., and E. Boschi (2004). Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: the example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius, J. Geophys. Res., DOI:10.1029/2004JB003155, 109:B11201. 7. Sandri L., Marzocchi W., and P. Gasperini (2005). Some insights on the flank eruptive activity of Mount Etna volcano (Sicily, Italy), Geophys. J. Int., DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2005.02757.x, 163:1203-1218. 8. Marzocchi W, Sandri L., and C. Furlan (2006). A quantitative model for volcanic hazard assessment. In H. M. Mader, S. G. Coles, C. B. Connor and L. J. Connor (eds), Statistics in Volcanology. Special Publications of IAVCEI, 1, ISBN 978-1-86239-208-3. Geological Society, London, 31-38. 9. Sandri L., and W. Marzocchi (2007). A technical note on the bias in the estimation of the b-value and its uncertainty through the Least Squares technique, Ann. Geophys., 50:3:329-339. 10. Marzocchi W., Sandri L., and J. Selva (2008). BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting, Bull. Volcanol., 70:623632, DOI:10.1007/s00445-007-0157-y. 11. Marzocchi W,. Selva J., and L. Sandri (2008). Probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment and eruption forecasting: the Bayesian Event tree
approach. In W. Marzocchi and A. Zollo (eds), Conception, verification and application of innovative techniques to study active volcanoes. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia and Dipartimento della Protezione Civile, ISBN 978-88-89972-09-0, 77-89. 12. Sandri L., Guidoboni E., Marzocchi W., and J. Selva (2009). Bayesian Event Tree for Eruption Forecasting (BET_EF) at Vesuvius, Italy: a retrospective forward application to 1631 eruption, Bull. Volcanol., 71:729745, DOI: 10.1007/s00445-008-0261-7 13. Grezio A., Marzocchi W., Sandri L., and P. Gasparini (2010). A Bayesian Procedure for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment, Nat. Haz., DOI: 10.1007/s11069-009-9418-8 14. Lindsay J., Marzocchi W., Jolly G., Constantinescu R., Selva J., and L. Sandri (2010). Towards real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland Volcanic Field: application of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise 'Ruaumoko'. Bull. Volcanol., 72:185204, DOI: 10.1007/s00445-009-0311-9 15. Faenza L., Meletti C., and L. Sandri (2010). Bayesian inference on earthquake size distribution: a case study in Italy. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 100:1: 349363, DOI: 10.1785/012009005 16. Marzocchi W., Sandri L., and J. Selva (2010). BET_VH: a probabilistic tool for long-time volcanic hazard assessment. Bulletin of Volcanology, DOI: 10.1007/s00445-010-0357-8. 17. Selva J., Costa A., Marzocchi W., and L. Sandri (2010). BET_VH: exploring the influence of natural uncertainties on long-term hazard from tephra fallout at Campi Flegrei (Italy). Bulletin of Volcanology, DOI: 10.1007/s00445-010-0358-7. 18. Passarelli L., Sandri L., Bonazzi A., and W. Marzocchi (2010). Bayesian Hierarchical Time Predictable Model for eruption occurrence: an application to Kilauea Volcano. Geophys. J. Int., accepted.